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September 09, 2005

The Crisis is Over, But

The search and rescue mission in New Orleans is over and Michael Brown is out on his keister. My fellow Americans, pat yourselves on the back. The storm is finally passed.

In my schema, we are on to the second R from Rescue to Relief. The last R of Recovery is going to be the long term deal, and there's going to be 60 billion plus dollars in that. Since I understand the liberal impulse, we are going to find out all of the contractors who win bids that have any connection whatsoever to any of the Bush team. Hold your noses, it's just a couple weeks away.

Meanwhile I'll be focusing on the displaced in their new places and praying that I find one of them blogging, because if I see another TV broadcast with stray dogs I'm going to vomit. Not that dogs ain't cute, it's just that they're always misinterpreted and we really never get the straight story from them. I think we will hear a more useful and gratifying response from bloggers.

The political consequences of this great displacement will very much be like that of 9/11. For me personally, it has been much more emotional. I'm at a high point today, which feels almost like normal, but over the past 10 days I've been operating with one emotional wheel in the sand. I have a couple predictions about political repercussions.

  • Libertarians are going to have a harder time everywhere.
  • The FEMA conspiracy theorists of the days of Waco are finally going to get the fisking they deserve.
  • Moderate Conservative Republicans like myself are going to gain. Think Giuliani & Whitman.
  • The death toll & the actual consequences of the watered down buses will be substantially lower than screamers have asserted.
  • Nagin breaks even. Blanco loses, and obviously Brown goes down in flames.
  • Katrina bloggers will emerge.

    Add these two fragments:
    Quote of the Day:
    "There are no atheists in foxholes, and no Libertarians in Louisiana."
    -- Prometheus 6

    A Purity Test for Limousine Liberals.

    That's all for now. I gotta get back to work.

    Posted by mbowen at September 9, 2005 12:30 PM

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    I suppose some moderate Democrats will rise, too.

    At a time like this, most everyone gets in touch with their liberal side, and the context of "the village" and "brother's keeper" becomes clear.

    I was proud of a few (just a few) black conservatives during the past two week, because for once their compassion out-distanced their compulsion.

    Posted by: brotherbrown [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 9, 2005 03:59 PM

    Are you giving Nagin a pass because he is really a Black Republican?

    Dang. The man screwed up from start to finish.

    Posted by: DarkStar [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 9, 2005 05:48 PM

    How do Libertarians lose out on this? Just curious on your thoughts. I'm not too familiar with their platform so you'll have to educate me on this when you get the time.

    Posted by: James Manning at September 9, 2005 07:22 PM

    For Nagin, everything pretty much hinges on the timeline for the buses. But even so, he was the man who initiated the largest evacuation of a modern city, probably in human history.

    So when the death toll is revealed to be 200 all we'll have to deal with is the 'slaveship' (yeah right) of the Superdome.

    Tell me, where was everybody supposed to go? I really want to know since everybody has suddenly become an expert on Nagin's evacuation plans that he "didn't implement". Where were they supposed to go other than the Superdome, Biloxi?

    Posted by: Cobb [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 9, 2005 08:04 PM

    ...where was everybody supposed to go?

    It keeps coming back to that. There isn't some backup city somewhere in the woods set aside to accomodate a major metropolitan area's complete evacuation, and I don't imagine we'll find the budget to make it happen.

    Even the buses scenario is overblown and I can't see why people think the outcome would have been better. You would have basically had to make a deal with the bus drivers that they can take their family on the bus as long as they took a busload of people somewhere (north? east? west? how far?) Then what? Does that make the bus driver Captain Kirk, responsible for the lives of the passengers? How were they supposed to refuel?

    Doing nothing can be criticized. Any delay in ordering action can be criticized. But it seems this woulda-coulda-shoulda is just so much talk.

    Posted by: brotherbrown [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 9, 2005 09:53 PM

    If there was a plan that was not implemented, it is fair to ask the question as to why. If the response is based on financial considerations, which it must always be, then these are particularly valid questions because once areas are designated as disaster areas, there is some opportunity for them to recoup funds in the event that disasters are averted. Therefore, the early designation for Louisiana and Texas, before the hurricane hit, was essential to justifying a more extensive evacuation. I'm not going to place blame in the absence of an informed discussion, but I would continue to ask the questions and demand the answers of the responsible parties. That is only fair...and the questions must be asked with out respect to persons or "race."

    Posted by: Temple3 [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 10, 2005 05:36 AM

    where was everybody supposed to go?

    If that wasn't in the plan, then don't you think the plan was worthless and as the administrator for the city, he should have known there was no place slated to evacuate to?

    Posted by: DarkStar [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 10, 2005 07:12 AM

    Where do they go? Just as a first cut here, high ground? To the west?

    I would rather deal with the question of What Now? with busfuls of live people that were evacuated within the context of a pre-strike plan. If nothing bad happens, everybody comes home. If it does go non-linear, they go do what they've done now. An official destination for each bus is a Nice to Have, but certainly not required for a mass evacuation in the face of a hurricane the size of this one.

    Posted by: Scott Chaffin at September 10, 2005 08:01 AM

    Well written. You have caused me to reevaluate my opinion on the mayor. I agree about the buses. In addition where would they have bussed the people? You can't just drop 30,000 people off on a country road. The police force totally failed him and the indecisive governor also hurt. I think the biggest failure is the perception that he paniced and lost control.

    Posted by: Mike at September 15, 2005 06:35 AM